Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBouselem to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceBouselem or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.70
Bouselem vs M'saken preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Bouselem take on M'saken on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bouselem's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
M'saken's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with BS Bouhajla 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Bouselem and 0.5 for M'saken. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bouselem 65%, draw 23%, M'saken 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bouselem 1–0 M'saken. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bouselem65%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.90
M'saken12%fair 8.26 · @10.00
1.96Expected goals
1.50Bouselem xG
0.45M'saken xG
38%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bouselem 1.5 – 0.5 M'saken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bouselem to win✓
65%
1.54
1.33
Double chance
Bouselem or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bouselem / FT Bouselem✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.70
–
Form
Bouselem – last 5
LWDDL
5 Apr
vs ES Hammam-Sousse
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ BS Bouhajla
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Sporting Ben Arous
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ EM Mahdia
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
M'saken – last 5
DWWLL
5 Apr
vs BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs US Ben Guerdane
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs EM Mahdia
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
16 Feb
vs Kerkennah
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bouselem and M'saken.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bouselem vs M'saken?
On our numbers Bouselem have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and M'saken 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bouselem vs M'saken?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bouselem vs M'saken?
Our predicted score is Bouselem 1–0 M'saken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bouselem vs M'saken?
Bouselem vs M'saken (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ES Hammam-Sousse3
Menzel Bourguiba0
CS Hammam-Lif3