Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiyala to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceDiyala or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.55
Diyala vs Naft Maysan preview and prediction
The match
Diyala host Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League on Thursday 9 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Diyala are 12th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Naft Maysan sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Diyala's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Al-Qasim 4–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Naft Maysan's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Al Minaa Basra 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Naft Maysan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Diyala and 0.7 for Naft Maysan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Diyala to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Diyala 1–0 Naft Maysan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diyala62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Naft Maysan16%fair 6.33 · @3.80
2.42Expected goals
1.71Diyala xG
0.71Naft Maysan xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.7 – 0.7 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diyala to win✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Diyala or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diyala / FT Diyala✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.55
–
Form
Diyala – last 5
WLLDL
31 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
4–0
W
27 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–2
L
23 Mar
@ Erbil
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
WLDDDW
5 Apr
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Erbil
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Naft Maysan.
Our pick is Diyala to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Diyala have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naft Maysan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
Diyala vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
