Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC ST. Gallen to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC ST. Gallen take on FC Thun on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Kybunpark. FC ST. Gallen are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Thun sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC ST. Gallen's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FC Basel 1893 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Thun's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to BSC Young Boys 3–8 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished FC Thun 2–2 FC ST. Gallen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for FC ST. Gallen and 1.2 for FC Thun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC ST. Gallen 61%, draw 18%, FC Thun 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC ST. Gallen to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC ST. Gallen61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.20
FC Thun20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
3.47Expected goals
2.25FC ST. Gallen xG
1.22FC Thun xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 2.3 – 1.2 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
Our pick is FC ST. Gallen to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Thun 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
