Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Lugano to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 preview and prediction
The match
FC Basel 1893 travel to Stadio di Cornaredo in the Super League on Sunday 17 May (15:30 WAT) to face FC Lugano. FC Lugano are 1st with 34 points from 13 games (top of the table), while FC Basel 1893 sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Lugano's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with FC Sion 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Basel 1893's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to FC ST. Gallen 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Basel 1893 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC Lugano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for FC Lugano and 1.0 for FC Basel 1893. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Lugano 64%, draw 12%, FC Basel 1893 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Lugano to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Lugano 2–1 FC Basel 1893. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Lugano64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw12%fair 8.07 · @4.10
FC Basel 189323%fair 4.30 · @3.70
3.08Expected goals
2.03FC Lugano xG
1.05FC Basel 1893 xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Lugano 2.0 – 1.0 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
Our pick is FC Lugano to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
On our numbers FC Lugano have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and FC Basel 1893 23%.
How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
Our predicted score is FC Lugano 2–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893?
FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio di Cornaredo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
