Value bet: BSC Young Boys to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Thun take on BSC Young Boys on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stockhorn Arena. FC Thun are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while BSC Young Boys sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Thun's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat BSC Young Boys 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
BSC Young Boys's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with FC Lugano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Thun arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished BSC Young Boys 1–2 FC Thun.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for FC Thun and 1.7 for BSC Young Boys. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 45%, draw 19%, BSC Young Boys 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.30.
Value angle: BSC Young Boys to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: FC Thun 2–1 BSC Young Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
BSC Young Boys36%fair 2.76 · @2.95
3.54Expected goals
1.88FC Thun xG
1.66BSC Young Boys xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.9 – 1.7 BSC Young Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BSC Young Boys 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–1 BSC Young Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
