FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC ST. Gallen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC ST. Gallen to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Basel 1893 take on FC ST. Gallen on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at St. Jakob-Park. FC Basel 1893 are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC ST. Gallen sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Basel 1893's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to FC Sion 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC ST. Gallen's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat FC Lugano 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished FC ST. Gallen 3–0 FC Basel 1893.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for FC Basel 1893 and 1.7 for FC ST. Gallen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Basel 1893 35%, draw 19%, FC ST. Gallen 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.36.
Value angle: FC ST. Gallen to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: FC Basel 1893 1–2 FC ST. Gallen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Basel 189335%fair 2.88 · @2.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
FC ST. Gallen46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
3.22Expected goals
1.48FC Basel 1893 xG
1.75FC ST. Gallen xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Basel 1893 1.5 – 1.7 FC ST. Gallen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
On our numbers FC Basel 1893 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC ST. Gallen 46%.
How many goals will there be in FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our predicted score is FC Basel 1893 1–2 FC ST. Gallen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at St. Jakob-Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
