Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Stade Gabesien take on ES Sahel on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Stade Gabesien's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat EGS Gafsa 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
ES Sahel's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Stade Tunisien 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Stade Gabesien and 1.5 for ES Sahel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stade Gabesien 35%, draw 23%, ES Sahel 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Stade Gabesien 1–1 ES Sahel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Gabesien35%fair 2.88 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
ES Sahel43%fair 2.34 · @2.30
2.89Expected goals
1.36Stade Gabesien xG
1.54ES Sahel xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stade Gabesien 1.4 – 1.5 ES Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Sahel to win✗
43%
2.34
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Sahel / FT ES Sahel✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Stade Gabesien – last 6
WWWLLW
5 Apr
vs EGS Gafsa
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Bouchamma
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ AS Agareb
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs EO Sidi Bouzid
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Ariana
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Jendouba Sport
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ES Sahel – last 3
DWW
8 Mar
@ Stade Tunisien
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Gabesien and ES Sahel.
What is the prediction for Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?
On our numbers Stade Gabesien have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ES Sahel 43%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?
Our predicted score is Stade Gabesien 1–1 ES Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?
Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia
CA Bizertin1
M'saken1
CS Sfaxien2
Jendouba Sport1
US Monastirienne0
ES Zarzis0