Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA Bizertin to win ✗71% · @1.40
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55% · @2.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.23
CA Bizertin vs M'saken preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees CA Bizertin take on M'saken on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stade 15 Octobre.
Form guide
CA Bizertin's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat AS Soliman 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
M'saken's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Bouselem 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CA Bizertin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for CA Bizertin and 0.9 for M'saken. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA Bizertin 71%, draw 20%, M'saken 9%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CA Bizertin to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: CA Bizertin 2–0 M'saken. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA Bizertin71%fair 1.41 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.70
M'saken9%fair 11.27 · @7.50
3.55Expected goals
2.61CA Bizertin xG
0.94M'saken xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: CA Bizertin 2.6 – 0.9 M'saken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA Bizertin to win✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Double chance
CA Bizertin or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
CA Bizertin ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA Bizertin / FT CA Bizertin✗
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
CA Bizertin – last 4
WWDD
3 Apr
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ AS Gabes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
M'saken – last 6
LDWWLL
13 Apr
@ Bouselem
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs US Ben Guerdane
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs EM Mahdia
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
16 Feb
vs Kerkennah
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA Bizertin and M'saken.
What is the prediction for CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
Our pick is CA Bizertin to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
On our numbers CA Bizertin have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and M'saken 9%.
How many goals will there be in CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
Our predicted score is CA Bizertin 2–0 M'saken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
CA Bizertin vs M'saken (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade 15 Octobre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia · Stade 15 Octobre
CS Sfaxien2
Jendouba Sport1
US Monastirienne0
ES Zarzis0
Stade Gabesien4
ES Sahel3