Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Bolívar to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe Strongest to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
The Strongest vs Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
The Strongest host Bolívar in the Primera División on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 22:15 (WAT) at Estadio Hernando Siles. The Strongest are 3rd with 48 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Bolívar sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bolívar's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Independ. Rivadavia 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for The Strongest and 1.6 for Bolívar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: The Strongest 41%, draw 21%, Bolívar 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Bolívar to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: The Strongest 2–1 Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The Strongest41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.85
Bolívar38%fair 2.61 · @2.88
3.30Expected goals
1.68The Strongest xG
1.62Bolívar xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: The Strongest 1.7 – 1.6 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The Strongest to win✗
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The Strongest / FT The Strongest✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
The Strongest – last 2
WD
14 May
@ Always Ready
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Real Tomayapo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bolívar – last 6
LLDDDW
28 May
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–3
L
19 May
@ Fluminense
1–2
L
14 May
vs Nacional Potosí
1–1
D
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Fluminense
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The Strongest and Bolívar.
What is the prediction for The Strongest vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win The Strongest vs Bolívar?
On our numbers The Strongest have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bolívar 38%.
How many goals will there be in The Strongest vs Bolívar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Strongest vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is The Strongest 2–1 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is The Strongest vs Bolívar?
The Strongest vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
