Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAurora to win ✗66% · @1.60
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
Aurora host Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT). Aurora are 6th with 36 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Oriente Petrolero sit 4th on 41 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Nacional Potosí 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Oriente Petrolero's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to The Strongest 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aurora arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Aurora and 0.9 for Oriente Petrolero. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aurora 66%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 13%.
Safer route: Aurora or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aurora to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aurora 2–0 Oriente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
Oriente Petrolero13%fair 7.43 · @4.40
3.04Expected goals
2.16Aurora xG
0.88Oriente Petrolero xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Aurora 2.2 – 0.9 Oriente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✗
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Aurora or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Half-time result
Aurora ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.00
–
Form
Aurora – last 6
LWWDWD
10 Jul
@ Nacional Potosí
0–2
L
2 Jun
@ Universitario de Vinto
2–1
W
16 May
@ Real Tomayapo
2–0
W
13 May
vs Real Oruro
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oriente Petrolero – last 6
LLDLWL
16 Jul
@ The Strongest
1–2
L
31 May
vs Blooming
0–1
L
15 May
vs Guabirá
2–2
D
11 May
@ ABB
1–3
L
3 May
vs Real Tomayapo
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Always Ready
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Oriente Petrolero.
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our pick is Aurora to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
On our numbers Aurora have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oriente Petrolero 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is Aurora 2–0 Oriente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
