The Primera División sees Bolívar take on Guabirá on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Hernando Siles. Bolívar are 1st with 60 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Guabirá sit 8th on 33 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bolívar's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with The Strongest 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guabirá's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Guabirá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Bolívar and 1.0 for Guabirá. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolívar 72%, draw 16%, Guabirá 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bolívar 2–1 Guabirá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolívar72%fair 1.38 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @7.80
Guabirá12%fair 8.62 · @15.00
3.77Expected goals
2.72Bolívar xG
1.05Guabirá xG
60%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bolívar 2.7 – 1.0 Guabirá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolívar to win✓
72%
1.38
1.10
Double chance
Bolívar or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.45
Half-time result
Bolívar ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Bolívar – last 6
DLLDDD
12 Jul
@ The Strongest
1–1
D
28 May
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–3
L
19 May
@ Fluminense
1–2
L
14 May
vs Nacional Potosí
1–1
D
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guabirá – last 6
WWDLLD
29 May
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–1
W
18 May
vs Nacional Potosí
2–1
W
15 May
@ Oriente Petrolero
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Real Potosí
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Guabirá.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bolívar vs Guabirá?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Guabirá 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Guabirá?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Guabirá?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–1 Guabirá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Guabirá?
Bolívar vs Guabirá (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
