Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuabirá to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.45
Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Guabirá take on Nacional Potosí on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gilberto Parada. Guabirá are 8th with 33 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Nacional Potosí sit 7th on 33 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guabirá's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Oriente Petrolero 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Nacional Potosí's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Bolívar 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nacional Potosí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Guabirá and 1.5 for Nacional Potosí. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guabirá 43%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosí 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Guabirá 2–1 Nacional Potosí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guabirá43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
Nacional Potosí36%fair 2.81 · @2.95
3.27Expected goals
1.73Guabirá xG
1.55Nacional Potosí xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Guabirá 1.7 – 1.5 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guabirá to win✓
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guabirá / FT Guabirá✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.45
–
Form
Guabirá – last 5
DLLDL
15 May
@ Oriente Petrolero
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Real Potosí
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
2–2
D
4 Apr
@ Blooming
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nacional Potosí – last 4
DLLW
14 May
@ Bolívar
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Blooming
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Botafogo
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guabirá and Nacional Potosí.
What is the prediction for Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Guabirá have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional Potosí 36%.
How many goals will there be in Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Guabirá 2–1 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí?
Guabirá vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gilberto Parada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
