Value bet: Independiente Petrolero to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Petrolero to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.25
ABB vs Independiente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees ABB take on Independiente Petrolero on Thursday 16 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). ABB are 16th with 20 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Independiente Petrolero sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ABB's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Real Potosí 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Independiente Petrolero's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Real Tomayapo 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
ABB arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for ABB and 1.7 for Independiente Petrolero. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Independiente Petrolero to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: ABB 1–1 Independiente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ABB39%fair 2.53 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.80
Independiente Petrolero39%fair 2.53 · @2.90
3.43Expected goals
1.72ABB xG
1.72Independiente Petrolero xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: ABB 1.7 – 1.7 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Petrolero to win✗
39%
2.53
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Petrolero / FT Independiente Petrolero✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.25
–
Form
ABB – last 5
LLWLW
9 Jul
@ Real Potosí
1–3
L
30 May
vs Always Ready
1–3
L
11 May
vs Oriente Petrolero
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Universitario de Vinto
2–5
L
5 Apr
@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Independiente Petrolero – last 6
LLLWLD
13 Jul
@ Real Tomayapo
1–2
L
27 May
@ Racing Club
0–2
L
21 May
vs Botafogo
0–3
L
13 May
vs Blooming
3–1
W
5 May
vs Caracas FC
2–3
L
1 May
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ABB and Independiente Petrolero.
What is the prediction for ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
On our numbers ABB have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Independiente Petrolero 39%.
How many goals will there be in ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is ABB 1–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?
ABB vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
