Bolívar host Nacional Potosí in the Primera División on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Hernando Siles. Bolívar are 1st with 60 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Nacional Potosí sit 7th on 33 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bolívar's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Blooming 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nacional Potosí's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Blooming 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Bolívar and 0.9 for Nacional Potosí. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolívar 69%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosí 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bolívar to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bolívar 2–0 Nacional Potosí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolívar69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @5.75
Nacional Potosí10%fair 10.07 · @9.25
3.38Expected goals
2.47Bolívar xG
0.92Nacional Potosí xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Bolívar 2.5 – 0.9 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolívar to win✗
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Bolívar or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.93
Half-time result
Bolívar ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolívar / FT Bolívar✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Bolívar – last 6
DDWLDL
11 May
@ Blooming
0–0
D
6 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Fluminense
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Independ. Rivadavia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nacional Potosí – last 3
LLW
23 Apr
@ Blooming
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Botafogo
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Nacional Potosí.
What is the prediction for Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Bolívar to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Bolívar have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional Potosí 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Bolívar 2–0 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí?
Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
