Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBolívar to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Blooming vs Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Blooming take on Bolívar on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas. Blooming are 9th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Bolívar sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Blooming's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 0–6 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Bolívar's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Bolívar 5–1 Blooming.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Blooming and 2.6 for Bolívar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blooming 21%, draw 15%, Bolívar 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bolívar to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Blooming 1–2 Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blooming21%fair 4.76 · @2.90
Draw15%fair 6.61 · @3.80
Bolívar64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
4.00Expected goals
1.42Blooming xG
2.58Bolívar xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Blooming 1.4 – 2.6 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bolívar to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Blooming vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Blooming have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bolívar 64%.
How many goals will there be in Blooming vs Bolívar?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blooming vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Blooming 1–2 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Blooming vs Bolívar?
Blooming vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
