Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Potosí to win ✓56% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Nacional Potosí vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Nacional Potosí take on Aurora on Friday 10 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Nacional Potosí are 7th with 33 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Aurora sit 6th on 36 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nacional Potosí's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Guabirá 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Aurora's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Universitario de Vinto 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Aurora arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Nacional Potosí and 1.1 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Potosí 56%, draw 20%, Aurora 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nacional Potosí 1–1 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Potosí56%fair 1.80 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.80
Aurora24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
2.78Expected goals
1.72Nacional Potosí xG
1.06Aurora xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Nacional Potosí 1.7 – 1.1 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
Attack vs Primera División average
-0%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Potosí to win✓
56%
1.80
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Potosí / FT Nacional Potosí✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Nacional Potosí – last 5
LDLLW
18 May
@ Guabirá
1–2
L
14 May
@ Bolívar
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Blooming
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Botafogo
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
WWDWDD
2 Jun
@ Universitario de Vinto
2–1
W
16 May
@ Real Tomayapo
2–0
W
13 May
vs Real Oruro
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Always Ready
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional Potosí and Aurora.
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
On our numbers Nacional Potosí have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aurora 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Nacional Potosí 1–1 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
Nacional Potosí vs Aurora (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
