Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✓73% · @1.30
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Oriente Petrolero take on Real Tomayapo on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas. Oriente Petrolero are 4th with 41 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Real Tomayapo sit 13th on 23 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oriente Petrolero's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Always Ready 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Oriente Petrolero and 0.7 for Real Tomayapo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oriente Petrolero 73%, draw 19%, Real Tomayapo 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oriente Petrolero to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oriente Petrolero73%fair 1.37 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.40
Real Tomayapo8%fair 12.04 · @6.60
3.13Expected goals
2.39Oriente Petrolero xG
0.73Real Tomayapo xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Oriente Petrolero 2.4 – 0.7 Real Tomayapo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oriente Petrolero to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Double chance
Oriente Petrolero or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Half-time result
Oriente Petrolero ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oriente Petrolero / FT Oriente Petrolero✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Oriente Petrolero – last 3
LWL
22 Apr
@ Always Ready
0–1
L
13 Apr
vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Tomayapo – last 2
DD
24 Apr
vs The Strongest
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Real Potosí
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oriente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo.
What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Our pick is Oriente Petrolero to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
On our numbers Oriente Petrolero have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Tomayapo 8%.
How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Our predicted score is Oriente Petrolero 2–0 Real Tomayapo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
