Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft preview and prediction
The match
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Naft in the Iraqi League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Naft sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Al Shorta 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Naft's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Al Talaba 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.6 for Naft. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 63%, draw 23%, Naft 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya63%fair 1.60 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Naft15%fair 6.84 · @5.75
2.23Expected goals
1.62Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.61Naft xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.6 – 0.6 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Mar
@ Al Shorta
3–3
D
26 Mar
vs Al Karkh
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Baghdad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Diyala
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Gharraf
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Al Talaba
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naft – last 6
DWWDLW
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Naft.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naft 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Qasim0