Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Al Minaa Basra or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Al Minaa Basra to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceAl Minaa Basra or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan preview and prediction
The match
Naft Maysan travel to face Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League on Sunday 5 April (17:30 WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Naft Maysan sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Al Karkh 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Naft Maysan's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Newroz 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Al Minaa Basra and 0.7 for Naft Maysan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Al Minaa Basra or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Al Minaa Basra to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Minaa Basra or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Naft Maysan17%fair 6.04 · @3.75
2.34Expected goals
1.63Al Minaa Basra xG
0.72Naft Maysan xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.6 – 0.7 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Al Minaa Basra or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.41
–
Form
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
LDDWWL
30 Mar
@ Al Karkh
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Duhok
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Diyala
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
LDDDWW
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Erbil
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Naft Maysan.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Our pick is Al Minaa Basra or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft Maysan 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Qasim0