Água Santa travel to face América RJ in the Serie D on Saturday 6 June (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
América RJ's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat São Gonçalo EC RJ 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Água Santa's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Madureira 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
América RJ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for América RJ and 1.8 for Água Santa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: América RJ 26%, draw 23%, Água Santa 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: América RJ 1–1 Água Santa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
América RJ26%fair 3.80 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Água Santa50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
3.00Expected goals
1.22América RJ xG
1.78Água Santa xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: América RJ 1.2 – 1.8 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Água Santa to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Água Santa / FT Água Santa✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
América RJ – last 6
WDLLWW
3 Jun
vs São Gonçalo EC RJ
2–1
W
30 May
@ Portuguesa RJ
2–2
D
27 May
@ Resende
0–3
L
20 May
vs CFRJ Maricá
0–1
L
13 May
@ Pérolas Negras
2–0
W
6 May
@ Audax Rio
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Água Santa – last 6
WLLLDW
30 May
vs Madureira
4–1
W
15 Apr
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Votuporanguense
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ Ituano
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Monte Azul
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América RJ and Água Santa.
What is the prediction for América RJ vs Água Santa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win América RJ vs Água Santa?
On our numbers América RJ have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Água Santa 50%.
How many goals will there be in América RJ vs Água Santa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América RJ vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is América RJ 1–1 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is América RJ vs Água Santa?
América RJ vs Água Santa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Madureira1
Pouso Alegre0
Portuguesa2
Portuguesa RJ0
Decisão1
Treze1
Imperatriz4
Tuna Luso0
Tocantinópolis7
Oratório1
Trem2
Águia de Marabá0