Colombia vs Costa Rica prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 56% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colombia 2.8 – 0.9 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colombia are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 8% for Costa Rica.
Colombia have taken 0 points from their last 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 per game. Costa Rica have 1 points from their last 2 (0W 1D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.8 for Colombia, 0.9 for Costa Rica). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.35 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colombia to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | Colombia or draw | 92% | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | 2.35 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Colombia ahead at half-time | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colombia / FT Colombia | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 10% | 9.90 | – |
Form
Colombia – last 2
| 29 Mar | vs France | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Croatia | 1–2 | L |
Costa Rica – last 2
| 31 Mar | vs Iran | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Jordan | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Costa Rica.
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What is the prediction for Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Colombia vs Costa Rica?
On our numbers Colombia have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Costa Rica 8%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Costa Rica?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Colombia vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.