Georgia vs Romania prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Romania to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Georgia 1.5 – 1.1 Romania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Georgia hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 32% for Romania.
Georgia have taken 4 points from their last 2 matches (1W 1D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Romania have 0 points from their last 2 (0W 0D 2L), averaging 0.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Georgia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 for Georgia, 1.1 for Romania). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Romania to win at 3.35 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Georgia to win ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | 2.06 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Georgia / FT Georgia ✗ | 27% | 3.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.27 | – |
Form
Georgia – last 2
| 29 Mar | @ Lithuania | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Israel | 2–2 | D |
Romania – last 2
| 31 Mar | @ Slovakia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Türkiye | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Georgia and Romania.
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Ghana1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Georgia vs Romania?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Georgia vs Romania?
On our numbers Georgia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Romania 32%.
How many goals will there be in Georgia vs Romania?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Georgia vs Romania?
Georgia vs Romania (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.