Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultItaly to win ✗64% · @1.52
Double chanceItaly or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy preview and prediction
The match
Bosnia & Herzegovina host Italy in the World Cup Qualification Europe on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bilino Polje.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 2.1 for Italy. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%, draw 22%, Italy 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0–2 Italy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bosnia & Herzegovina14%fair 7.17 · @6.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Italy64%fair 1.57 · @1.52
2.95Expected goals
0.88Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
2.07Italy xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.9 – 2.1 Italy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy to win✗
64%
1.57
1.52
Double chance
Italy or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Half-time result
Italy ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy / FT Italy✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.95
–
Form
Bosnia & Herzegovina
No recent results on record.
Italy – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Italy.
What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Italy 64%.
How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 0–2 Italy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czech Republic1
Denmark1
Kosovo0
Türkiye1
Sweden3
Poland2