Value bet: Ethnikos Achna to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthnikos Achna to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceEthnikos Achna or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.42
Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis preview and prediction
The match
Ethnikos Achna host Anorthosis in the 1. Division on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Dasaki Stadium.
Form guide
Ethnikos Achna's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with AEL 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Anorthosis's last 4: DWDD Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Anorthosis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Ethnikos Achna and 0.8 for Anorthosis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Ethnikos Achna or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ethnikos Achna to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ethnikos Achna 1–0 Anorthosis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethnikos Achna61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.45
Anorthosis19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
2.56Expected goals
1.74Ethnikos Achna xG
0.82Anorthosis xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Achna 1.7 – 0.8 Anorthosis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethnikos Achna to win✓
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Ethnikos Achna or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethnikos Achna / FT Ethnikos Achna✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.42
–
Form
Ethnikos Achna – last 4
DLLW
22 Mar
@ AEL
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs AEK Larnaca
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Apollon Limassol
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Apoel Nicosia
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Anorthosis – last 4
DWDD
15 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Apoel Nicosia
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Pafos
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs Krasava Ypsonas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Achna and Anorthosis.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis?
On our numbers Ethnikos Achna have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Anorthosis 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Achna 1–0 Anorthosis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis?
Ethnikos Achna vs Anorthosis (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Dasaki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
