Pafos travel to GSP Stadium in the 1. Division on Sunday 26 April (15:00 WAT) to face Apoel Nicosia. Apoel Nicosia are 4th with 17 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Apoel Nicosia's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Apollon Limassol 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pafos's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat AEL 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Apoel Nicosia and 1.5 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Apoel Nicosia32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
Pafos48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
2.74Expected goals
1.19Apoel Nicosia xG
1.55Pafos xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 1.2 – 1.5 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
9.99
–
Form
Apoel Nicosia – last 6
LLWWLW
22 Apr
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
14 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Aris
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Aris
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Anorthosis
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
WDWDDD
22 Apr
vs AEL
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ Aris
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ AEL
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Anorthosis
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apoel Nicosia and Pafos.
What is the prediction for Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pafos 48%.
How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna2