Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Omonia Nicosia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Omonia Nicosia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmonia Nicosia to win61% · @1.91
Double chanceOmonia Nicosia or draw83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.13
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Apollon Limassol take on Omonia Nicosia on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium. Apollon Limassol are 5th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Omonia Nicosia sit 2nd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Apollon Limassol's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Apoel Nicosia 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat AEK Larnaca 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Apollon Limassol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Apollon Limassol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Apollon Limassol and 1.9 for Omonia Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Omonia Nicosia or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Omonia Nicosia to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Omonia Nicosia or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Apollon Limassol 0–1 Omonia Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Apollon Limassol17%fair 6.05 · @3.55
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Omonia Nicosia61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
2.72Expected goals
0.85Apollon Limassol xG
1.87Omonia Nicosia xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 0.9 – 1.9 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Omonia Nicosia or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Omonia Nicosia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 0–1 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia?
Apollon Limassol vs Omonia Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.