The 1. Division sees Aris take on Pafos on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium. Aris are 7th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aris's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Apoel Nicosia 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Pafos's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat AEL 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Aris 2–2 Pafos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Aris and 1.6 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aris 31%, draw 21%, Pafos 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aris 1–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aris31%fair 3.18 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Pafos48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.26Aris xG
1.62Pafos xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aris 1.3 – 1.6 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aris vs Pafos?
On our numbers Aris have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pafos 48%.
How many goals will there be in Aris vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aris vs Pafos?
Aris vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.