AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees AEK Larnaca take on Omonia Nicosia on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at AEK Arena. AEK Larnaca are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Omonia Nicosia sit 2nd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEK Larnaca's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Olympiakos 5–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AEK Larnaca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for AEK Larnaca and 1.4 for Omonia Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 1–1 Omonia Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Larnaca35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.80
Omonia Nicosia38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
2.65Expected goals
1.30AEK Larnaca xG
1.35Omonia Nicosia xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.3 – 1.4 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Omonia Nicosia to win✓
38%
2.65
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Omonia Nicosia / FT Omonia Nicosia✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DDWDWD
5 Apr
@ Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Ethnikos Achna
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Akritas
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Omonia Nicosia – last 5
WDLLL
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos
5–0
W
2 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ HNK Rijeka
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Omonia Nicosia 38%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
