Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Somalia to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMauritius to win ✗43% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Mauritius vs Somalia preview and prediction
The match
Somalia travel to face Mauritius in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 31 March (16:00 WAT).
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Somalia 0–0 Mauritius.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Mauritius and 1.0 for Somalia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Somalia to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Mauritius 1–0 Somalia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mauritius43%fair 2.31 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Somalia33%fair 3.00 · @3.35
2.13Expected goals
1.16Mauritius xG
0.97Somalia xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mauritius 1.2 – 1.0 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mauritius to win✗
43%
2.31
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mauritius / FT Mauritius✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Mauritius – last 1
D
27 Mar
@ Somalia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Somalia – last 1
D
27 Mar
vs Mauritius
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
27 Mar 2026
Somalia v Mauritius
0–0
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Mauritius vs Somalia?
On our numbers Mauritius have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Somalia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritius vs Somalia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritius vs Somalia?
Our predicted score is Mauritius 1–0 Somalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mauritius vs Somalia?
Mauritius vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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