Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultApollon Limassol to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Apollon Limassol take on Apoel Nicosia on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alphamega Stadium.
Form guide
Apollon Limassol's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Apoel Nicosia 3–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Apoel Nicosia's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Apollon Limassol 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Apoel Nicosia 2–3 Apollon Limassol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Apollon Limassol and 1.6 for Apoel Nicosia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Apollon Limassol 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Apollon Limassol40%fair 2.48 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Apoel Nicosia36%fair 2.80 · @2.62
3.29Expected goals
1.70Apollon Limassol xG
1.59Apoel Nicosia xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.7 – 1.6 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apoel Nicosia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.