Pafos host AEL in the Cup on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.
Form guide
Pafos's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Aris 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
AEL's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Enosis 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished AEL 1–2 Pafos. Across their last 2 meetings Pafos have won 2, AEL 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Pafos and 0.8 for AEL. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pafos 64%, draw 20%, AEL 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pafos 2–0 AEL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.95
AEL15%fair 6.65 · @5.40
2.79Expected goals
1.97Pafos xG
0.82AEL xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pafos 2.0 – 0.8 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pafos vs AEL?
On our numbers Pafos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AEL 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs AEL?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs AEL?
Our predicted score is Pafos 2–0 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos vs AEL (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.