Wednesday, 11 November 2026 8 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Cup · Cyprus · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium

Pafos

DWDDD
3–1
FT

AEL

WLDLW

Pafos vs AEL prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPafos to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Pafos vs AEL preview and prediction

The match

Pafos host AEL in the Cup on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.

Form guide

Pafos's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Aris 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

AEL's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Enosis 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Pafos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished AEL 1–2 Pafos. Across their last 2 meetings Pafos have won 2, AEL 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Pafos and 0.8 for AEL. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pafos 2–0 AEL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pafos64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.95
AEL15%fair 6.65 · @5.40
2.79Expected goals
1.97Pafos xG
0.82AEL xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Pafos 2.0 – 0.8 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPafos to win ✓64%1.551.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓85%1.181.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.40
Half-time resultPafos ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Form

Pafos – last 6

DWDDDW
14 Apr@ Aris1–1D
8 Apr@ AEL2–1W
22 Marvs Apollon Limassol1–1D
1 Mar@ Aris2–2D
21 Febvs Anorthosis0–0D
15 Feb@ AEL1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AEL – last 6

WLDLWL
17 Aprvs Enosis2–1W
8 Aprvs Pafos1–2L
22 Marvs Ethnikos Achna1–1D
8 Mar@ Apollon Limassol1–2L
20 Feb@ Enosis2–0W
15 Febvs Pafos0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026AEL v Pafos1–2
15 Feb 2026AEL v Pafos0–1
Pafos vs AEL head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs AEL?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pafos vs AEL?

On our numbers Pafos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AEL 15%.

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs AEL?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs AEL?

Our predicted score is Pafos 2–0 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Pafos vs AEL?

Pafos vs AEL (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.