Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: PAOK to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chancePAOK or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Panathinaikos vs PAOK preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees Panathinaikos take on PAOK on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. Panathinaikos are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while PAOK sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Panathinaikos's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PAOK's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with AEK Athens FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PAOK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished PAOK 0–0 Panathinaikos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Panathinaikos and 1.7 for PAOK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: PAOK to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was PAOK or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 0–1 PAOK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panathinaikos17%fair 5.72 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
PAOK57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
2.53Expected goals
0.84Panathinaikos xG
1.69PAOK xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 0.8 – 1.7 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is PAOK or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PAOK 57%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 0–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Panathinaikos vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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