Value bet: AEK Athens FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✗41% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.48
AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees AEK Athens FC take on Olympiakos Piraeus on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Allwyn Arena. AEK Athens FC are 3rd with 20 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Olympiakos Piraeus sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEK Athens FC's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with PAOK 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Olympiakos Piraeus's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Panathinaikos 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 AEK Athens FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for AEK Athens FC and 1.3 for Olympiakos Piraeus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: AEK Athens FC to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Athens FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Olympiakos Piraeus41%fair 2.42 · @2.22
2.37Expected goals
1.11AEK Athens FC xG
1.26Olympiakos Piraeus xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.1 – 1.3 Olympiakos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olympiakos Piraeus 41%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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