Double chanceAtletico Paranaense or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.87
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Goianiense travel to Arena da Baixada in the Copa Do Brasil on Friday 24 April (01:30 WAT) to face Atletico Paranaense.
Form guide
Atletico Paranaense's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Bahia 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Tocantinópolis 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.3 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.3 for Atletico Goianiense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Paranaense65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
Atletico Goianiense11%fair 9.20 · @7.60
1.63Expected goals
1.32Atletico Paranaense xG
0.31Atletico Goianiense xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–020%
2–017%
1–18%
3–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Paranaense 1.3 – 0.3 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.87
–
Form
Atletico Paranaense – last 6
LWWLDL
2 Apr
@ Bahia
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Botafogo
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Cruzeiro
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
25 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Londrina
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DWWLLL
16 Apr
@ Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Londrina
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Vila Nova
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Porto Vitória
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Atletico Paranaense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Goianiense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.