Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Fluminense to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✗60% · @1.94
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.97
Operario-PR vs Fluminense preview and prediction
The match
Fluminense travel to Estádio Germano Krüger in the Copa Do Brasil on Friday 24 April (01:30 WAT) to face Operario-PR.
Form guide
Operario-PR's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Novorizontino 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fluminense's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Independ. Rivadavia 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Operario-PR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Operario-PR and 1.4 for Fluminense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Fluminense to win at 1.94 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fluminense or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Operario-PR 0–1 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Operario-PR16%fair 6.29 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.15
Fluminense60%fair 1.65 · @1.94
1.95Expected goals
0.54Operario-PR xG
1.41Fluminense xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–014%
0–214%
1–111%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 0.5 – 1.4 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✗
60%
1.65
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.97
–
Form
Operario-PR – last 6
DDDWWW
15 Apr
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Cianorte
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Avai
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Londrina
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Capital Brasilia
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
LDDWLW
16 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Fluminense or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fluminense 60%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Fluminense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 0–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Fluminense?
Operario-PR vs Fluminense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Germano Krüger.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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