Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCRB to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
CRB vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees CRB take on Fortaleza EC on Friday 15 May, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Form guide
CRB's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Operario-PR 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Confiança 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Fortaleza EC 2–1 CRB.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for CRB and 1.2 for Fortaleza EC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CRB 44%, draw 24%, Fortaleza EC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 56% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CRB44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.86
Fortaleza EC32%fair 3.14 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.43CRB xG
1.17Fortaleza EC xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: CRB 1.4 – 1.2 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers CRB have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza EC 32%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
CRB vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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