Value bet: Flamengo to win @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✗55% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Vitoria vs Flamengo preview and prediction
The match
Flamengo travel to Barradao in the Copa Do Brasil on Friday 15 May (01:30 WAT) to face Vitoria.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Ceara 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Gremio 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Flamengo 2–1 Vitoria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Vitoria and 1.8 for Flamengo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitoria 24%, draw 21%, Flamengo 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Flamengo to win at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Flamengo55%fair 1.82 · @2.00
2.82Expected goals
1.06Vitoria xG
1.76Flamengo xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.1 – 1.8 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vitoria vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flamengo 55%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Vitoria vs Flamengo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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