Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Union St. Gilloise or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win61% · @1.90
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.17
Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees Anderlecht take on Union St. Gilloise on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Lotto Park. Anderlecht are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Union St. Gilloise sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Anderlecht's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to St. Truiden 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union St. Gilloise's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Gent 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Anderlecht and 1.8 for Union St. Gilloise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anderlecht 15%, draw 25%, Union St. Gilloise 61%.
Safer route: Union St. Gilloise or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Union St. Gilloise to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Anderlecht 0–1 Union St. Gilloise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anderlecht15%fair 6.86 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Union St. Gilloise61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
2.55Expected goals
0.76Anderlecht xG
1.79Union St. Gilloise xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 0.8 – 1.8 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.17
–
Form
Anderlecht – last 6
LLLDWD
23 Apr
@ St. Truiden
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 3
DWD
22 Apr
vs Gent
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 61%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 0–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
