Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnderlecht to win57% · @1.90
Double chanceAnderlecht or draw80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.08
Anderlecht vs Gent preview and prediction
The match
Anderlecht host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Lotto Park. Anderlecht are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gent sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Anderlecht's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 2–4 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gent's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with KV Mechelen 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Anderlecht and 1.1 for Gent. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anderlecht 57%, draw 24%, Gent 20%.
Safer route: Anderlecht or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Anderlecht to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Anderlecht or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Anderlecht 1–1 Gent. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anderlecht57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
Gent20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
2.96Expected goals
1.91Anderlecht xG
1.05Gent xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.9 – 1.1 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Anderlecht or draw
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Anderlecht ahead at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.08
–
Form
Anderlecht – last 5
LLDWD
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Gent – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs KV Mechelen
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Genk
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Gent.
Our pick is Anderlecht or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Gent?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gent 20%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Gent?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Gent?
Anderlecht vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dender