KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓68% · @1.68
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.44
KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees KV Mechelen take on Union St. Gilloise on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne. KV Mechelen are 11th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Union St. Gilloise sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KV Mechelen's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Gent 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for KV Mechelen and 1.9 for Union St. Gilloise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KV Mechelen 11%, draw 21%, Union St. Gilloise 68%.
Safer route: Union St. Gilloise or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KV Mechelen 0–1 Union St. Gilloise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KV Mechelen11%fair 9.00 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Union St. Gilloise68%fair 1.48 · @1.68
2.50Expected goals
0.61KV Mechelen xG
1.88Union St. Gilloise xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 0.6 – 1.9 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
68%
1.48
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.44
–
Form
KV Mechelen – last 5
DWLWL
6 Apr
@ Gent
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gent
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Genk
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 1
D
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KV Mechelen and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union St. Gilloise 68%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is KV Mechelen 0–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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