Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Orenburg II take on Khimik Dzerzhinsk on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Orenburg II are 7th with 26 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Khimik Dzerzhinsk sit 1st on 56 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orenburg II's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Izhevsk 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Rubin Kazan 2 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Orenburg II and 1.7 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orenburg II 31%, draw 22%, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.59.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Orenburg II 1–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orenburg II31%fair 3.20 · @2.83
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Khimik Dzerzhinsk47%fair 2.13 · @2.24
2.96Expected goals
1.31Orenburg II xG
1.66Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 1.3 – 1.7 Khimik Dzerzhinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win✓
47%
2.13
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.59
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.79
–
Form
Orenburg II – last 6
DWDLWD
31 May
@ Izhevsk
2–2
D
24 May
vs KDV
3–0
W
18 May
@ Krylya Sovetov II
0–0
D
10 May
@ Rubin Kazan 2
0–3
L
3 May
vs Nosta
3–0
W
29 Apr
vs Dinamo Barnaul
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 6
DWWWWW
30 May
vs Rubin Kazan 2
1–1
D
24 May
@ Nosta
1–0
W
17 May
vs Dinamo Barnaul
4–1
W
10 May
@ Akron II
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Ural II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Krylya Sovetov II
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orenburg II and Khimik Dzerzhinsk.
What is the prediction for Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Khimik Dzerzhinsk 47%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 1–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Orenburg II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
