Nosta host Ural II in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadium Metallurg. Nosta are 11th with 18 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Ural II sit 9th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nosta's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Chelyabinsk II 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ural II's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Dinamo Barnaul 6–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Ural II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Nosta and 1.7 for Ural II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nosta 30%, draw 22%, Ural II 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Nosta 1–1 Ural II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nosta30%fair 3.36 · @3.06
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.22
Ural II48%fair 2.06 · @2.10
3.04Expected goals
1.30Nosta xG
1.73Ural II xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.3 – 1.7 Ural II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural II to win✓
48%
2.06
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural II / FT Ural II✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Nosta – last 6
DLLLLD
31 May
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–1
D
24 May
vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0–1
L
17 May
@ Izhevsk
0–2
L
10 May
vs KDV
0–2
L
3 May
@ Orenburg II
0–3
L
29 Apr
vs Rubin Kazan 2
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ural II – last 6
WLLDDL
30 May
vs Dinamo Barnaul
6–3
W
24 May
@ Akron II
1–3
L
17 May
vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0–3
L
10 May
vs Krylya Sovetov II
1–1
D
3 May
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nosta and Ural II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Nosta vs Ural II?
On our numbers Nosta have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ural II 48%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Ural II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Ural II?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Ural II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs Ural II?
Nosta vs Ural II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
