Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.23 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✗71% · @1.34
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✗91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.23
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov preview and prediction
The match
Zenit Penza host FK Spartak Tambov in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Zenit Penza are 12th with 23 points from 21 games (in the bottom half), while FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zenit Penza's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Avangard Kursk 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FK Spartak Tambov's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tula II 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
FK Spartak Tambov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.6 for Zenit Penza and 2.1 for FK Spartak Tambov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.23 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zenit Penza9%fair 11.70 · @8.30
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.50
FK Spartak Tambov71%fair 1.41 · @1.34
2.70Expected goals
0.61Zenit Penza xG
2.09FK Spartak Tambov xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.6 – 2.1 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Spartak Tambov to win✗
71%
1.41
1.34
Double chance
FK Spartak Tambov or draw✗
91%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.23 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
FK Spartak Tambov ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Spartak Tambov / FT FK Spartak Tambov✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Zenit Penza – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ SKA Rostov
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Rotor-2
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Salyut-Belgorod
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Spartak Tambov – last 6
DDLWWW
15 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs SKA Rostov
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Strogino
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Shumbrat
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Avangard Kursk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit Penza and FK Spartak Tambov.
What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Spartak Tambov 71%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Zenit Penza vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
