Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk preview and prediction
The match
Metallurg Lipetsk host Avangard Kursk in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Metallurg. Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th with 38 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Avangard Kursk sit 8th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Avangard Kursk's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Zenit Penza 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Metallurg Lipetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Avangard Kursk 1–1 Metallurg Lipetsk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Metallurg Lipetsk and 0.9 for Avangard Kursk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Metallurg Lipetsk or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Avangard Kursk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metallurg Lipetsk60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Avangard Kursk20%fair 5.10 · @4.44
2.75Expected goals
1.83Metallurg Lipetsk xG
0.91Avangard Kursk xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 1.8 – 0.9 Avangard Kursk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?
On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Avangard Kursk 20%.
How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?
Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Avangard Kursk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk?
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Avangard Kursk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
