Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win @ 1.87 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolna Nizhegorodskaya to win ✓65% · @1.87
Double chanceVolna Nizhegorodskaya or draw ✓84% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk preview and prediction
The match
Metallurg Lipetsk travel to face Volna Nizhegorodskaya in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 15 August (13:00 WAT). Volna Nizhegorodskaya are 1st with 56 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Metallurg Lipetsk sit 7th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Volna Nizhegorodskaya's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Tyumen 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Murom 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Volna Nizhegorodskaya and 0.8 for Metallurg Lipetsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 65%, draw 19%, Metallurg Lipetsk 16%.
Safer route: Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw (84%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win at 1.87 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–0 Metallurg Lipetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volna Nizhegorodskaya65%fair 1.53 · @1.87
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.60
Metallurg Lipetsk16%fair 6.33 · @3.64
2.68Expected goals
1.90Volna Nizhegorodskaya xG
0.78Metallurg Lipetsk xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1.9 – 0.8 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win✓
65%
1.53
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.20
Half-time result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volna Nizhegorodskaya / FT Volna Nizhegorodskaya✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Volna Nizhegorodskaya – last 6
WWWLDW
12 Aug
vs Tyumen
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Zenit Penza
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula II
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Strogino
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Shumbrat
3–3
D
27 Jun
@ FK Spartak Tambov
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 6
DDWDWW
12 Aug
@ Murom
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Ryazan
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Rotor-2
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Kvant
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Orel
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Rodina Moskva III
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volna Nizhegorodskaya and Metallurg Lipetsk.
What is the prediction for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Volna Nizhegorodskaya or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Volna Nizhegorodskaya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Metallurg Lipetsk 16%.
How many goals will there be in Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–0 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
