Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvangard Kursk to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.67
Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza preview and prediction
The match
Zenit Penza travel to Trudovye Rezervy Stadium in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 15 August (11:00 WAT) to face Avangard Kursk. Avangard Kursk are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Zenit Penza sit 12th on 23 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Avangard Kursk's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Kristall MEZ 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Zenit Penza's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Avangard Kursk and 1.0 for Zenit Penza. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Avangard Kursk 1–1 Zenit Penza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avangard Kursk60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.50
Zenit Penza22%fair 4.59 · @3.72
2.91Expected goals
1.90Avangard Kursk xG
1.01Zenit Penza xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Avangard Kursk 1.9 – 1.0 Zenit Penza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avangard Kursk to win✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.41
Half-time result
Avangard Kursk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avangard Kursk / FT Avangard Kursk✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.67
–
Form
Avangard Kursk – last 6
DDLLLW
12 Aug
vs Kristall MEZ
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Strogino
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
6–3
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zenit Penza – last 6
LDWLWL
8 Aug
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ SKA Rostov
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Rotor-2
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Salyut-Belgorod
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Rodina Moskva III
1–9
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avangard Kursk and Zenit Penza.
What is the prediction for Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
On our numbers Avangard Kursk have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zenit Penza 22%.
How many goals will there be in Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Our predicted score is Avangard Kursk 1–1 Zenit Penza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza?
Avangard Kursk vs Zenit Penza (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Trudovye Rezervy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.