Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.24 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✗68% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.24
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Murom vs Cherepovets preview and prediction
The match
Cherepovets travel to Viktor Losev Stadion in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT) to face Murom. Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Cherepovets sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Spartak Moscow 2 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cherepovets's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Luki-Energiya 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Cherepovets 0–2 Murom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Murom and 0.8 for Cherepovets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.24 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Murom 2–0 Cherepovets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @6.20
Cherepovets18%fair 5.70 · @7.70
2.78Expected goals
1.97Murom xG
0.81Cherepovets xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Murom 2.0 – 0.8 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Murom vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Murom have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cherepovets 18%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Murom 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Cherepovets?
Murom vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
