Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.28 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.28
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2 preview and prediction
The match
Murom host Spartak Moscow 2 in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Spartak Moscow 2 sit 12th on 23 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Tver 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Moscow 2's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Luki-Energiya 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 2 0–1 Murom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Murom and 0.7 for Spartak Moscow 2. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.28 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Murom 2–0 Spartak Moscow 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @5.20
Spartak Moscow 214%fair 6.94 · @7.75
2.61Expected goals
1.90Murom xG
0.71Spartak Moscow 2 xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Murom 1.9 – 0.7 Spartak Moscow 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2?
On our numbers Murom have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Spartak Moscow 2 14%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Our predicted score is Murom 2–0 Spartak Moscow 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Murom vs Spartak Moscow 2 (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
