Value bet: Murom to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Murom vs Tver preview and prediction
The match
Murom host Tver in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Viktor Losev Stadion. Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Tver sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Volga Ulyanovsk 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tver's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Luki-Energiya 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Tver 1–0 Murom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Murom and 0.8 for Tver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murom 66%, draw 21%, Tver 14%.
Safer route: Murom or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Murom to win at 1.62 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Murom 2–0 Tver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom66%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.70
Tver14%fair 7.20 · @4.93
2.82Expected goals
2.01Murom xG
0.80Tver xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Murom 2.0 – 0.8 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Murom vs Tver?
On our numbers Murom have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tver 14%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Tver?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Murom 2–0 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Tver?
Murom vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
