Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Spartak Moscow 2 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Spartak Moscow 2 to win @ 1.87 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow 2 to win ✗65% · @1.87
Double chanceSpartak Moscow 2 or draw ✗84% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Spartak Moscow 2 take on Zvezda St. Petersburg on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Spartak Moscow 2 are 12th with 23 points from 21 games (in the bottom half), while Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spartak Moscow 2's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Dinamo Vologda 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tver 1–8 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spartak Moscow 2 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 June 2026, finished Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–3 Spartak Moscow 2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Spartak Moscow 2 and 0.8 for Zvezda St. Petersburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (84%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow 2 to win at 1.87 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow 2 or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 2 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow 265%fair 1.53 · @1.87
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.60
Zvezda St. Petersburg16%fair 6.33 · @3.64
2.73Expected goals
1.93Spartak Moscow 2 xG
0.80Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2 1.9 – 0.8 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow 2 or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow 2 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 16%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
